Let the mean and variance of 7 observations 2,4,10,x,12,14,y,x>y, be 8 and 16 respectively. Two numbers are chosen from {1,2,3,x−4,y,5} one after another without replacement, then the probability, that the smaller number among the two chosen numbers is less than 4 , is :
Answer: D
- Since the mean of the 7 observations is 8:
72+4+10+x+y+12+14=8⇒x+y=14
- Since the variance is 16, use the formula Var=n∑xi2−(mean)2:
16=722+42+102+x2+y2+122+142−82
- Simplifying gives:
x2+y2=100
- Solving x+y=14 and x2+y2=100 together with x>y gives:
x=8,y=6
-
The set {1,2,3,x−4,y,5} becomes {1,2,3,4,6,5}={1,2,3,4,5,6}.
-
We want the probability that the smaller of two chosen numbers is less than 4. It's easier to find the complementary event: both chosen numbers are at least 4 (i.e., from {4,5,6}).
P(both≥4)=6C23C2=153
- So the required probability is:
1−153=54
Hence, the answer is Option D.